frdbtr wrote:
I have posted this before but I think that next years opening sched has the potential to get us off to an 0-3 start. Ole miss is an SEC school and BYU's record against SEC schools is not good. Texas is texas, they are down this year but they are EXTREMELY talented and will probably be better next year, especially after struggling. utah is utah, we never seem to be able to put that team away even when we have a 2006 team that had an average margin of victory of about 30pts per game against MWC schools, it takes a last minute throw to harline to keep from losing to them 5 years in a row. I don't know what to think of UCF, I am not afraid of usu at LES after what happened this year. Having said that, with a Bronco Mendenhall run defense and Heaps having a year under his belt, all those games are also winable. If we come out of that stretch undefeated, we will be the talk of the football world next year, and ESPN will be promoting us at every turn.
Our record against SEC schools may not be good, but we haven't played too many of them, and when we have it's been pretty close:
Alabama - '98 L, 38-31
Arkansas - never played
Auburn - never played
Florida - never played
Georgia - '82 L, 17-14
Kentucky - never played
LSU - never played
Mississippi State - '00 L 44-28, '01 W 41-38
Ole Miss - never played
South Carolina - never played
Tennessee - never played
Vanderbilt - never played
So, we're 1-3, with two of the losses being a one-score loss. Not too bad, if you ask me. Also, one of the things you need to win in the SEC is a strong defense. BYU never used to have that, but with Bronco as DC, I have full confidence in our ability to beat Ole Miss.
I live in Longhorn country, and everyone here is way down on the team. The strength is the defense, though it has its weaknesses (for example, Kansas State managed to score 39 on them despite having only 9 yards passing - probably more a symptom of the offense's turnovers, though). The main ailments seem to be the offense, and there is talk of getting a new offensive coordinator in the off-season, and lack of team leadership. Team leadership can be a hard problem to solve, as we've seen with our team, and likely takes some time. A new offensive coordinator is also something that generally requires a little time before the offense starts clicking. Since we get them early, we may be able to take advantage of those factors and get the win - assuming, of course, that they do replace the OC. If I were Bronco, I'd be very tempted to call a very aggressive game defensively to try and cause confusion and get some early turnovers, because you know the offense is going to be pretty vanilla at that point.
Utah is a rivalry game. Could always go either way. UCF looks to be a run-first offense, which I think will play into our strengths with a more experienced D-line and a freaking AWESOME linebacker corps next season. And USU is going to be dump-trucked in that game.
The schedule is definitely front-loaded like this year, but I think the names on the list are scarier than most of the teams are. I like our chances, especially with what we have coming back and the fact that we can continue to develop it in a bowl game while Ole Miss and UT likely can't. On offense we lose Ashworth, B.J. Peterson, Alletto and Speredon. That's it. We get to add Drew Phillips and Ross Apo. On defense we lose Logan, Rich, and Bradley in the secondary, and we'll replace them with Eason, Buckner, and Everett. We lose Zeke Mendenhall, Van Valkenburg, Atkinson, and Hunter of the LBs. More importantly, though, we will have Pendleton, Kaveinga, Stout, Ogletree, Van Noy, Frazier and others all there. That's disgusting! Would you want to run on that? Or have any part of that blitz you? On the D-line we lose So'oto, which is a big loss. But we've got a lot of talent there, some of which is getting a lot of good practice this year, and they should be great. I love the thought of doing stunts and zone blitzes with guys like Pendleton, Van Noy, and Ezekiel Ansah - those are some fast, big, mean dudes. And on special teams, we will have the return of Justin Sorenson and touchbacks. :) 2011 will be much improved, and should get out of the first part of the schedule with at most one loss.