mizzoucoug wrote:
Last season I started a thread asking "Why will this team win a tourney game?" and it turns out we were pretty good. However, our team consistently fell back on 3's and refused to establish a post game (Rose's Achilles heel). Our defense against penetrating guards was also weak because we have zero shot-blocking presence down low, which is why we can't get the big stops when we need them (KSU game).
I see these as the 2 major weaknesses of the team that must be fixed, and so I ask (assuming what we knew about the team last year remains consistent) do we have a scoring big man[/u] and shot-blockers[/u] this season for a Final Four run?
Davies has sick moves, but he's not that explosive. Still, he should get 20 touches per night IMO. He is the only viable option to score down there consistently, and he must be established every night.
Collinsworth may be our only hope to reject shots from the paint. Can he fill this role? I don't know but I think the success of our season depends on it.
1. This team will emply a ton of zone D; it slows down the break some, but it also helps hide smaller, softer bigs. (this is how we've been consistently beating SDSU)
Against teams that shoot the 3 well, we usually have more than enough size (quickness has been the issue against UNLV, etc.)
2. You can't talk about our bigs, without discussing the top returning rebounder, shot blocker and scorer in the paint... Noah Hartsock... like him or not; he delivered more than anyone else.
I'm not sure what team you were watching, but Noah Hartsock is a shot blocker; he averaged 1.3 blocks a game, compared to the 2nd best avg of .6 by Chris Miles. James Anderson is also a capable shot blocker; he's also capable of a turnover everytime he touches the ball.
3. Shot blocking is not a major factor in W/L differential... but offensive rebounding is. You want wins, get your bigs to rebound on the offensive end.
I'd be willing to bet that Noah leads the team in rebounds, blocked shots and is the top scorer in the paint.
(just like last year) I'm not sure if that bodes well for us or not, but Hartsock is more than capable of contributing at the 4. Noah also led the team in FG% (.564) and shot .846 from the FT line. (compare that to the .560 of Davies from the FT line)
How anyone could bank on Chris Collinsworth to be the guy at the 4, when he's been gone for 2 years with Noah coming back and having posted better numbers last year than Chris did his freshman year is beyond me.
Collinsworth averaged 16 minutes a game his freshman year and averaged 0.4 blocks per game, so I'm not sure where anyone got the idea that he was a top notch shot blocker. He was however a very good offensive rebounder; though he shot .432 from the FT line. If you're banking on Chris Collinsworth to get us to the final four, then dont' bother buying your tickets... at least not this year.
There are no Kawhi Leonards on this team... but you're banking on the wrong guys based on recent history. Davies will be streaky and people will consider him soft at times, but our most consistent player on defense will be Noah... just like last year.
(there once was a youtube video of an AAU game where Noah completely dominated both of the Lopez brothers... if it's still out there , watch it and you'll be drooling if we ever discover that kid. He did average nearly 30 in the top division in Oklahoma high school hoops... compare that to Davies, who I dont' think ever scored 30 in a high school game, in spite of the fact that he wasn't in the highest division in Utah).
On the downside, Noah got married this summer; and we've seen marriage completely drain the fire out of a player at times.