Archived Topic

The QB Poll

by Mars · 6/3/2010

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M
Mars


Who do you think will win BYU's starting quarterback job?




http://www.ksl.com/?nid=498&sid=10949480







(This is the same exact poll I asked here March 23rd. I'm curious to see if the answer has changed, and how)
F
Florwood
I voted, but there may be a difference in what I think vs what I want.
G
Guest
I'm really up in the air on this one. I think if it's close, and you think BYU will lose no additional games with Nelson at the head you give Heaps the redshirt year to get fully into the system. But if Heaps can show in fall more separation from Nelson you may just have to go with him.
S
snoscythe
At this point, I (wait for it.....) think it will be (wait for it......) Nelson (...and the other shoe drops!).



The amount of debate on this board proves one thing only--it's a tight race. In a tight race between a Junior with a year and a half in the system and a true freshman with 6 months in the system, the nod goes to the Junior and the true freshman bides his time with 5 to play 4. This especially after the offense has lost its defacto captain in Unga and the coaches have acknowledged the leadership edge going to the Junior.
M
Mars
snoscythe wrote:
The amount of debate on this board proves one thing only--it's a tight race.



This especially after the offense has lost its defacto captain in Unga and the coaches have acknowledged the leadership edge going to the Junior.

1- With 6 votes so far, it does seem to look like a tight race to program outsiders.

2- Nelson has the leadership in... off-season workouts. On the field? We shall see. Wouldn't the guy the QBs trust more have more leadership? Because that's Heaps.

3- I noticed yesterday that Illinois named a freshman QB their new starter, over last year's back-up, a sophomore. It happens all the time in college football.

4- If the current poll results hold, and I'm not sure that they will, they will show something very interesting. I know what, but I'm not quite sure why.
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D
Ddawg
This is such a "shot in the dark" - because we are not at the practices actually watching. All the info. We are getting is 2nd hand & filtered. I'm taking a "wait & see" attitude. Either way - the right decision will be made. I expect changes to occur during the season as both QB's evolve & develop. No question - both QB's (Nelson & Heaps) are talented & bring real game to the table.

:crazy:
M
Mars
Ddawg wrote:
This is such a "shot in the dark" - because we are not at the practices actually watching. All the info. We are getting is 2nd hand & filtered. I'm taking a "wait & see" attitude. Either way - the right decision will be made. I expect changes to occur during the season as both QB's evolve & develop. No question - both QB's (Nelson & Heaps) are talented & bring real game to the table.

Maybe that the "right" approach, to refuse to take sides or be in any QBs camp at all. I'm just too opinionated to go that route, personally. Besides, it's supposed to be more fun to have a sports opinion than not.
L
Lawboy
I posted it elsewhere, but I think leadership in the QB position is slightly overrated. Max Hall was no team leader, but he won--a lot. What you need in that position is the guy who helps you win. Players rally around the guy who helps you win, because they all want to win. No one wants to be happy to rally around the loveable guy who loses games for you. Guys want to win. I refer you to Sean Covey and ty detmer. Covey was the experienced guy, the well liked guy. Detmer the fiery RS freshman. Covey payed, sputtered, Detmer came in and won, and the team rallied around him really fast. this scenario reminds me of that one. heaps is a fiery, but inexperienced guy. Nelson the experienced guy, but no one really knows if he can get it done. I prefer to let Heaps learn on the job, like USC did last year with Barkley. Barkley will be really good now this year, just as Heaps will be in 2011 if he starts this year. Nothing better to help you improve than on the field time. John Beck proves that as well. Plus, Heaps has the intangibles that really matter, which puts it ahead of the average freshman by a mile.
B
Brayden Green
Again, Neslon really has no experience. Scrub time, and offseason practices don't amount for a whole lot... We give him way too much credit for a whole lotta nothing.
M
Mars


I've been going back and looking at the numbers, and I found that:



1- Out of 14 BYU practices, 4 of Riley Nelson's 5 touchdowns came in the last 3 practices, including short passes to Jacobsen, DiLuigi, and Chambers that went for 75, 60 yards, and 60 yards. That's 236 of his 339 total yards for the entire camp. http://www.ksl.com/index.php?nid=498&sid=10252761 http://www.ksl.com/index.php?nid=498&sid=10343425 http://heraldextra.com/sports/college/byu/football/article_6bb1f8ce-ebbb-591a-86df-4fd5a78c1ea6.html

2- Riley Nelson got more series than Heaps in each of the last 3 practices (10 to 7 overall), which Bronco basically described as "show" practices ("fun" and "for the fans" were his exact words, saying the coaches "were distracted" and "didn't pay attention"), designed to get younger players reps while sitting the experienced players to eliminate injuries to starters (Mendenhall said that the back-ups "didn't execute" and "weren't consistent"). And the extra series for Nelson were on shorter fields (from 20 yards out, compared to 35 for Heaps on the final day, for example). http://heraldextra.com/sports/college/byu/football/article_3603a055-de59-58d1-846f-b6fb09a2270f.html

3- The starting DBs were mostly held out of these practices. Even Unga threw a 75-yard TD pass, and Lark threw a 50-yard TD pass, his ONLY TD of Spring camp (which BYU didn't include in his final numbers, oddly enough, though multiple websites reported it). http://heraldextra.com/sports/college/byu/article_67b2e638-daad-5877-b68a-cf6aeebffc42.html



Anyway, over the first 11 practices Nelson threw for 103 yards and 1 TD- during an endzone drill (less than 10 passing yards a day- including days where he threw for 2 yards and 0 yards... not confidence-inducing for a kid who could potentially start against Washington... were Heaps injured), while Heaps threw for 5 TDs and approximately 550 yards. This is where most of the "Nelson got blown away" comments and thoughts were solidly formed and founded. Justifiably so. Heaps also had at least two throws of over 50 yards that were dropped by WRs. Not intercepted, dropped. I don't think Nelson could even hope to throw a ball that far, and opposing defenses will know that.





This also explains why at CougarFan.com, 4451 people think Heaps should start, and only 1660 think Nelson should: http://www.cougarfan.com/polls/pollmentorres.asp?R1=1



Even more so, 77% of CougarCorner expected Heaps to win the starting QB job back when there was only one week of Spring football camp left: http://www.cougarcorner.com/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=2941&start=10&hilit=poll
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S
SpiffCoug
Mars wrote:


Anyway, over the first 11 practices Nelson threw for 103 yards and 1 TD- during an endzone drill (less than 10 passing yards a day- including days where he threw for 2 yards and 0 yards... not confidence-inducing for a kid who could potentially start against Washington... were Heaps injured), while Heaps threw for 5 TDs and approximately 550 yards. This is where most of the "Nelson got blown away" comments and thoughts were solidly formed and founded. Justifiably so. Heaps also had at least two throws of over 50 yards that were dropped by WRs. Not intercepted, dropped. I don't think Nelson could even hope to throw a ball that far, and opposing defenses will know that.


I saw with my own two eyes Nelson throw two balls of 50yards in the air during the spring game. Question? Why did Heaps numbers fall off towards the end of camp? Why did five of his seven TDs come during the first two weeks? Those questions about early vs late production can go both way. Again, who cares when they come? Did those three TDs count less because they came late in the spring ball period?



I think we've hashed numbers enough. I think the race is close and I think it will continue deep into the fall camp. I think two weeks into spring ball the race was definitely shaping up to be in Heaps' favor. But Nelson clearly raised his game and made it into a competition.



Did he inspire enough confidence in coaches in teammates to show that the Cougs might be able to be patient with Heaps and let him have some time to develop? We'll find out in a few months.



I will say this, if fall camp starts the same way - with Heaps playing very well and Nelson struggling, I don't think the coaches will wait to see if Nelson can raise his game again. I think they would name Heaps the starter and start getting him ready for Washington. And I would fully agree and support that decision.
J
jonnylingo
In my mind nelson would be the less risky qb but more someone that would be adequate. Heaps seems like a qb that has way more upside and potential to really raise the team to new heights.



Seems to me that sooner or later jake is going to seperate himself substantially and take over the starting spot.



I think he should be eased in though. I want jake but think it seems more wise to start nelson absent jake putting some serious seperatiom between him and others come fall ball.



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S
snoscythe
jonnylingo wrote:
In my mind nelson would be the less risky qb but more someone that would be adequate. Heaps seems like a qb that has way more upside and potential to really raise the team to new heights.



Seems to me that sooner or later jake is going to seperate himself substantially and take over the starting spot.



I think he should be eased in though. I want jake but think it seems more wise to start nelson absent jake putting some serious seperatiom between him and others come fall ball.



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I don't like the easing in idea if you are talking about a mid-season change. Utah tried doing a planned phase in last year, trading Terrance Cain's 7-1 starting record for Wynn's 3-2. I don't know that Cain would've made a difference in the TCU game, but it could've been the difference in the BYU game. If we're talking about any other position on the field, a mid-season change isn't horrible, but changing a QB is a paradigm shift for the entire offense. You need to pick your horse early on and get the entire team behind them. If it's Heaps, everyone needs to get behind him and let him make mistakes and grow, and if it's Nelson, everyone needs to get behind him and trust that the coaches have a good reason to have him on the field instead of Heaps. Using a phase-in just leaves too much room for uncertainty and second guessing.



If you need to phase someone in, a back-up position or a redshirt season are best. Don't plan to change your horse midrace.



That being said, if the guy you picked consistently fails to get the job done, that's what the pine is for.
B
Brayden Green
snoscythe wrote:
In my mind nelson would be the less risky qb but more someone that would be adequate. Heaps seems like a qb that has way more upside and potential to really raise the team to new heights.



Seems to me that sooner or later jake is going to seperate himself substantially and take over the starting spot.



I think he should be eased in though. I want jake but think it seems more wise to start nelson absent jake putting some serious seperatiom between him and others come fall ball.



[ Post made via Mobile Device ] http://cougarcorner.com/images/mobile.png" alt="" loading="lazy" style="max-width:100%">


I don't like the easing in idea if you are talking about a mid-season change. Utah tried doing a planned phase in last year, trading Terrance Cain's 7-1 starting record for Wynn's 3-2. I don't know that Cain would've made a difference in the TCU game, but it could've been the difference in the BYU game. If we're talking about any other position on the field, a mid-season change isn't horrible, but changing a QB is a paradigm shift for the entire offense. You need to pick your horse early on and get the entire team behind them. If it's Heaps, everyone needs to get behind him and let him make mistakes and grow, and if it's Nelson, everyone needs to get behind him and trust that the coaches have a good reason to have him on the field instead of Heaps. Using a phase-in just leaves too much room for uncertainty and second guessing.



If you need to phase someone in, a back-up position or a redshirt season are best. Don't plan to change your horse midrace.



That being said, if the guy you picked consistently fails to get the job done, that's what the pine is for.


100% agreed. Especially when we have 2 such different styles of offense that each will run.
D
Ddawg
Mars wrote:
This is such a "shot in the dark" - because we are not at the practices actually watching. All the info. We are getting is 2nd hand & filtered. I'm taking a "wait & see" attitude. Either way - the right decision will be made. I expect changes to occur during the season as both QB's evolve & develop. No question - both QB's (Nelson & Heaps) are talented & bring real game to the table.

Maybe that the "right" approach, to refuse to take sides or be in any QBs camp at all. I'm just too opinionated to go that route, personally. Besides, it's supposed to be more fun to have a sports opinion than not.


I do have an opinion. I firmly believe that after just Spring Practice - it is too early to pick a QB. I think the Y Coaches feel the same way - or - they would have announced their choice by now. I don't think Bronco plays games. I believe Bronco is a straight shooter & there is a real competition going on for the starting QB spot.



That said - this team will be Jake's. The question is "when?" This Fall, next year? I don't have any idea. If I was able to attend every practice & watch the reps I could give you an informed opinion. As it is, I only get my info. from internet sites.



I'm certainly opinionated - but I will admit my insight if very limited. I have no inside contacts of friends associated w/ the team. I certainly appreciate yours & other folks comments that do have "inside contacts." Me - I'm just a BYU Football fan that wants to learn all I can about my team.
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M
Mars
kitic77 wrote:
Anyway, over the first 11 practices Nelson threw for 103 yards and 1 TD- during an endzone drill (less than 10 passing yards a day- including days where he threw for 2 yards and 0 yards... not confidence-inducing for a kid who could potentially start against Washington... were Heaps injured), while Heaps threw for 5 TDs and approximately 550 yards. This is where most of the "Nelson got blown away" comments and thoughts were solidly formed and founded. Justifiably so.

Question? Why did Heaps numbers fall off towards the end of camp? Why did five of his seven TDs come during the first two weeks? Those questions about early vs late production can go both way. Again, who cares when they come? Did those three TDs count less because they came late in the spring ball period?



...I think two weeks into spring ball the race was definitely shaping up to be in Heaps' favor. But Nelson clearly raised his game and made it into a competition... I will say this, if fall camp starts the same way - with Heaps playing very well and Nelson struggling, I don't think the coaches will wait to see if Nelson can raise his game again. I think they would name Heaps the starter and start getting him ready for Washington. And I would fully agree and support that decision.

The entire camp was two weeks worth of practices (14 days).



Heaps went from 5 TDs and 550 yards in 11 days to 2 TDs and 200 yards in 3 days. That's actually a raise, not a drop-off.



Nelson had 1 TD, 103 yards over 11 days of practice, including days where he threw for 2 and 0 yards. That's shows both inconsistance and poor play, neither of which you want in a starter, especially on opening day against Washington.



Do scores in garbage time of blowout games mean less? Actually, to the informed viewer they do. And an informed viewer realizes that Nelson's last 4 TDs can't compare to Jake's first 5. 1st string vs. 3rd string D makes a huge, huge difference. As Unga's and Lark's long TD passes prove.



I don't think Nelson has raised his game. I think his game is still far below Heaps'. It's like Loyd coming in as a back-up and having one great game, and some people thinking imediately that he should start ahead of Jimmer. Nelson took advantage of getting 3 more series than Heaps in what were basically "goof off" practices. Good for him, but by then we had already seen who he truly was as a Div. I-A QB. His Scout team QB exploits don't do anything to change that.
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