Archived Topic

BYU Reseach shows NON AQ receiver do better in NFL

by jonnylingo · 4/20/2010

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L
Lawboy
What about QB's?
G
gmj81
It's right in the article:



Running Back



It’s not just at wide receiver that non-BCS players fly under the draft’s radar. Plothow’s analysis found that non-BCS running backs perform just as well in the NFL as BCS ‘backs of similar strength, speed, and college stats, but the non-BCS ball carriers get drafted 34 spots later.



Case in point: Michael Turner getting picked 154th out of Northern Illinois. Turner rushed for 1,699 yards and 17 touchdowns for the Atlanta Falcons in 2008. Reigning rushing champ Chris Johnson was selected 24th out of East Carolina despite running the 40 yard dash in 4.24 seconds at the NFL Scouting Combine.



“Controlling for strength and college career, two players coming out of BCS and non-BCS schools may look equal, but the BCS player is consistently selected much higher in the NFL draft,” Plothow said.



Quarterback



So why are NFL teams missing out on so much talent? It appears that scouts and executives rely on BCS coaches’ evaluation of players in the recruiting process when they should trust the data, Plothow says.



The quarterback position is one area where college label carries less weight. A non-BCS quarterback is drafted just seven spots behind his clone from a BCS league.



This specific research was limited to offensive skill positions simply because there are more stats available to help predict NFL performance.
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