Post Season

Unless the wheels completely come off, it looks like we are tourney bound. Even if we lose against SMC on Sat and lose the first game of the WCC tournament we'd still be a bubble team.



But I don't see us losing on Sat and something tells me after a first round exist last year Pope is going to have the guys dialed up.



So, the question remains, how of a seed is possible? Right now we are projected as high as a 7th seed. We never get what we're projected as, so reality is if the season were to end today, we'd be an 8 or 9.



Should we win the rest of our games and lose to Gonzaga in the finals, I think we end up with a 6th seed. We miraculously beat Gonzaga, and I think we jump as high as a 4th seed.

I'm thinking an 8, but we've got to make it to championship round. I haven't seen anything more on GU opting out. Did I miss anything this week?

GAKunkel wrote:

Unless the wheels completely come off, it looks like we are tourney bound. Even if we lose against SMC on Sat and lose the first game of the WCC tournament we'd still be a bubble team.



But I don't see us losing on Sat and something tells me after a first round exist last year Pope is going to have the guys dialed up.



So, the question remains, how of a seed is possible? Right now we are projected as high as a 7th seed. We never get what we're projected as, so reality is if the season were to end today, we'd be an 8 or 9.



Should we win the rest of our games and lose to Gonzaga in the finals, I think we end up with a 6th seed. We miraculously beat Gonzaga, and I think we jump as high as a 4th seed.

I believe Joe Lunardi take into account the no-Sunday play downgrade when he projects BYU's seeding, That is one of the reasons he had BYU on the bubble for so long. Because the metrics say BYU should be a 6 or 7 seed: 26 NET, 22 KenPom, 28 BPI, 23 Sagarin, 16 KPI, 22 SOR, 3-3 Q1, and 4-2. With the win over St Mary's tonight they should only go up and add another Q2 win.

If we can get a 6th seed that would be great. I don't see us getting higher than a 6 unless we beat Gonzaga in the WCC finals.

GAKunkel wrote:

If we can get a 6th seed that would be great. I don't see us getting higher than a 6 unless we beat Gonzaga in the WCC finals.

I would be very happy with a 7 seed, there is 3 or 4 teams really good (BYU has faced 1 of them already twice)... But after that it's pretty much anyone's game, so a 7 seed would face a 2 seed next. So avoid the 1 seed as long as possible would be the name of the game (the 7 seed would not match up with the 1 seed until the Elite 8 ).



BYU's metrics look much better from yesterday's: 20 NET, 22 KenPom, 29 BPI, 25 Sagarin, 11 KPI, 17 SOR, 3-3 Q1, and 5-2.



Where BYU Basketball Fits in the WCC Tournament Bracket



Team Rankings give BYU these percentages:

#3 seed or better: 5.2%

#4 seed: 9.8%

#5 seed: 16.3%

#6 seed: 20.1%

#7 seed: 18.7%

#8 seed: 13.9%

#9 seed: 8.6%

#10 seed: 4.6%

#11 seed: 2.1%

#12 seed or worse: 0.7%