Archived Topic

BYU vs Opponent Averages

by SpiffCoug · 9/18/2018

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SpiffCoug
It's back! Three games under the belt for all three opponents means that we more than one other game to compare how BYU is playing against the competition.



As always, the numbers given are how BYU performed in their game against the opponent compared to the opponent's averages, with the BYU game removed from the calculation.



Arizona

BYU held Arizona 17 points below their scoring offense average (40).

BYU held Arizona 252.5 yards below their total offense average (578.5).

BYU held Arizona 80 yards below their rushing offense average (80).

BYU allowed Arizona 172.51 below yards than their passing offense average (369.5).

BYU held Arizona 54.92 below points above their PER offense average (163.3).




BYU scored 10 fewer points than the Wildcats’ scoring defense average (38.0).

BYU gained 115 fewer yards than the Wildcats’ total defense average (507).

BYU gained 62 fewer yards than the Wildcats’ rushing defense average (245).

BYU gained 53 fewer yards than the Wildcats’ passing defense average (262).


BYU was 14.35 above the Wildcats’ PER defense average (124.42).



Cal

BYU held Cal 13.5 points below their scoring offense average (34.5).

BYU allowed Cal 70.3 more yards than their total offense average (374.5).

BYU allowed Cal 6 more yards than their rushing offense average (178.0).

BYU allowed Cal 17.5 more yards than their passing offense average (196.5).


BYU held Cal 5.96 below points above their PER offense average (136.17).



BYU scored 2 points below the Bears’ scoring defense average (20).

BYU gained 23 fewer yards than the Bears’ total defense average (310).

BYU gained 61 fewer yards than the Bears’ rushing defense average (152).


BYU gained 38 more yards than the Bears’ passing defense average (158).

BYU was 0.48 points above the Bears’ PER defense average (91.63).




Wisconsin

BYU held Wisconsin 18.5 points below their scoring offense average (39.5).

BYU held Wisconsin 135.5 yards below their total offense average (529.5).

BYU held Wisconsin 121.5 below yards their rushing offense average (325.5).

BYU held Wisconsin 14 yards below their passing offense average (204).

BYU held Wisconsin 48.29 points below their PER offense average (162.44).



BYU scored 15.5 more points than the Badgers’ scoring defense average (8.5).

BYU gained 53 more yards than the Badgers’ total defense average (258.0).

BYU gained 90.5 more yards than the Badgers’ rushing defense average (100.5).


BYU gained 37.5 fewer yards than the Badgers’ passing defense average (157.5).

BYU was 7.18 points above the Badgers’ PER defense average (107.52).
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CrimsonCoug
Spiff, these are great. Thanks!

What would be awesome and might help a bit for interpretation may be to put the stats in context by adding the opponent's record and score of previous games, and that opponent's current record. For example



Arizona (1-2) : L 28-23 v BYU(2-1); L 45-18 @ HOU(2-1); W 62-31 v SUU(0-3)

...





California (3-0) : W 24-17 v UNC(0-2); W 21-18 @ BYU(2-1); W 45-23 v IDST(1-1)

...





Wisconsin (2-1) : W 34-3 v WKU(0-3); W 45-14 v UNM(2-1); L 24-21 v BYU(2-1)







Seeing this, I'm still not sure what kind of a team Cal is. They barely beat BYU, but also beat two bad teams--which is why they're not ranked.



With this context, I would cut our offense a bit of slack in the Arizona game because Houston would inflate Arizona's defense-allowed numbers, except that I wonder how Arizona let SUU hang 33 on them. So, BYU's offense is still a bit suspect.



Wisconsin's WKU win tells us nothing, and beating UNM doesn't tell us much. Not surprising, our marks versus opponent averages are best against WSC because they've played the weakest competition so far.



Thanks again for putting these together!
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