Archived Topic

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

by byufan4ever · 10/20/2015

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byufan4ever
FiveThirtyEight has developed an algorithm called CARMELO that they are using to project the careers of players (or identify similar players) as well as NBA starting line-up and playing time. Go here for the nitty gritty on how it works:



https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-were-predicting-nba-player-career/



But the real fun is putting in players' names and seeing what it comes up with:



http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/carmelo/



Here is what Jabari Parker's projection looks like:


Parker, Jabari.PNG

So he's on a career path similar to Marvin Williams and Luol Deng...



And here is the Spurs projected line-up and playing time:


Spurs Projection.PNG

I'm a Spurs fan so this interested me, but I was surprised that they are putting Jimmer at 20% playing time at SG. I think it's a bit high, but I hope he gets it.



They also have other stuff like projecting the rookies (this was before the draft) and what % they'll be a star/start/role player/bust. What do you guys think about CARMELO (stupid name)? Which players did you look up and who are they linked to?
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