M
MarsSelective Memory: An ability to remember some facts while apparently forgetting others, especially when they are inconvenient. The ability to retrieve certain facts and events but not others.
Confirmation Bias: The tendency of people to favor information that confirms their beliefs or hypotheses. People display this bias when they gather or remember information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way.
Warning- These biases may result in false belief perseverance, wishful thinking, overconfidence, and poor decision making.
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I hear "Taysom Hill" mentioned frequently in connection with "Heisman" and "NFL". It seems like a large jump to me, too-quickly made. Here's a look at some stats last year (the negative, mostly, since the positive -10th in individual yardage, for example, or 550 rushing yards against Texas- seem to be more frequently published and referred back to):
2013 Individual Completion Percentage rating:
QB Taysom Hill, BYU. 95th out of 100. 53.9%. (Team: 103rd of 123)
QB Teddy Bridgewater, Louisville. 71%.
Individual Passing Efficiency:
Taysom Hill, 89th of of 100. 118.1. (Team: 98th of 123)
Jameis Winston, Florida State. 184.8.
Team 3rd Down Completion Percentage:
BYU, 85th out of 123. 37.7%.
LSU. 57.1%.
Team Interceptions Thrown:
BYU, 80th out of 123. 14.
Louisville. 4.
Team Sacks Allowed:
BYU, 107th out of 123. 38 sacks for 232 yards lost.
Toledo. 6 sacks for 26 yards lost.
Team Time of Possession:
BYU, 105th out of 123. 27:47 minutes per game.
Bowling Green. 34:03 minutes per game.
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Taysom can definitely put an offense on his legs and do his very best to win a game all on his own. But just look at the Washington game. 48 pass attempts, 31 rushes, for 79 total offensive plays. And it wasn't nearly enough. And here's the thing- It won't be in the future, either... Not without major improvement to his main weaknesses. Which may (John Beck) or may not (Jake Heaps, Riley Nelson) happen. It has yet to be seen. And is by no means assured.