TCU would be #2 if Texas had lost

It is not clear that TCU would not have been in the title game had Texas lost, even though Cincy jumped them in the standings today. Even if you leave TCU and Cincy in the same relative position in the human polls (simply dropping Texas below them and moving them both up one spot), the computer rankings would probably have turned out much differently. Cincy is already ahead of Texas in all but two of the computer polls, and ahead of TCU in all of them. Texas is ahead of TCU in all but one of the computer polls.



If Texas had lost, because they haven't really played any common opponents of the top 5 or 6 teams, I imagine each team below them (in the top 5 or 6) would go up one spot. Since the highest and lowest computer ranking is dropped, Cincy ends up gaining one point in the computer polls. TCU would go up 4 points. Cincy would still be ahead, but TCU would gain a lot of ground in the computers if Texas lost.



Here is what the Computer point breakdown currently looks like:



TCU: 21-21-21-21-22-21 (Dropping the relevant scores => 21-21-21-21 for a total of 84)



Cincy: 24-22-23-23-23-24 (Dropping the relevant scores => 23-23-23-24 for a total of 93)



Differential => Cincy + 9



Here is what the computer point breakdown would likely have been had Texas lost:



TCU: 22-22-22-22-22-22 (Dropping the relevant scores => 22-22-22-22 for a total of 88)



Cincy: 24-23-24-23-23-24 (Dropping the relevant Scores => 24-23-23-24 for a total of 94)



Differential => Cincy +6



Given that TCU was .0042 points behind Cincy in the BCS standings, the added boost in the computers would have closed the gap. TCU's total score would have been .8969 and Cincy's would have been .8911.



Another important point is that we know Cincy is ranked ahead of Texas by at least one of the coaches. This means if TCU is ranked behind Texas by that same poller (probably was, since it was probably Brian Kelly that voted Cincy #1), TCU gains a point in the polls from Texas losing that Cincy doesn't. That is probably counteracted by the fact that there were actually two Harris Poll voters with the balls to put TCU ahead of Texas (one being our very own local reporter, Darnell Dickson), while none of the Harris voters put Cincy ahead of Texas.



Of course, had Texas lost, the voters would have faced a completely different situation and who knows what they would have done. I'm just pointing out that you cannot say that TCU would have been jumped by Cincy just because they did in this situation.

That is what I wanted to happen, had Texas lost, everyone would be like, wow TCU is going to do it, they are going to play for the NC, and Boy oh boy should they, and when Cincy jumped them after wining on a missed PAT, then all hell would brake loose, and we would have WW3

TCU should challenge Alabama to a real national championship game after the bowl games are over.

TCU and BSU should come to a joint agreement to bill the Fiesta Bowl the national championship. If Fox had any guts, they'd treat the game as the national championship, since they're not broadcasting the BCS championship this year.

Those muppets say that the computers don't look at scores, but if this game happened earlier in the season I guarantee they'd fall.

Mingjai wrote:
TCU and BSU should come to a joint agreement to bill the Fiesta Bowl the national championship. If Fox had any guts, they'd treat the game as the national championship, since they're not broadcasting the BCS championship this year.

I would LOVE to see that happen. What's stopping them? They don't have the future rights to the BCS anymore anyway so definitely bill the game as the NCG.

gmj81 wrote:

TCU and BSU should come to a joint agreement to bill the Fiesta Bowl the national championship. If Fox had any guts, they'd treat the game as the national championship, since they're not broadcasting the BCS championship this year.

I would LOVE to see that happen. What's stopping them? They don't have the future rights to the BCS anymore anyway so definitely bill the game as the NCG.

I think it would be awesome, and all hell would brake loose, b :evil: :evil: :evil: :evil:

UVACoug wrote:
TCU should challenge Alabama to a real national championship game after the bowl games are over.

That would look pretty silly if Bama ends up losing to Texas.