BYU vs Opponent Averages - Post-Wisconsin

Here is how each BYU game has compared to opponent averages (with the BYU game removed from opponent average calculations.



Virginia

BYU held UVA 1.7 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 48.6 fewer rushing yards than UVA‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 158.1 fewer total yards than UVA’s total offense average.

BYU held UVA 9.3 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 19.8 fewer points than UVA’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 4.2 more rushing yards than UVA’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 61.7 fewer total yards than UVA’s total defense average.

BYU was 56.4 PER points below UVA’s PER defense average.



Texas

BYU held Texas 15.1 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 73.5 fewer rushing yards than Texas’ rushing average.

BYU allowed 0.4 fewer total yards than Texas’s total offense average.

BYU held Texas 1.4 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 17.3 more points than Texas’ scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 410.5 more rushing yards than Texas’ rushing defense average.

BYU gained 321.3 more total yards than Texas’ total defense average.

BYU was 48.6 PER points below Texas’ PER defense average.



Utah

BYU held Utah 11.0 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 44.8 fewer rushing yards than Utah‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 3.1 more total yards than Utah‘s total offense average.

BYU held Utah 32.4 PER points above their PER average.

BYU scored 13.6 fewer points than Utah’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 45.8 more rushing yards than Utah’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 68.4 fewer total yards than Utah’s total defense average.

BYU was 61.6 PER points below Utah’s PER defense average.



Middle Tennessee

BYU held MTSU 20.1 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 99.4 fewer rushing yards than MTSU‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 204.7 fewer total yards than MTSU’s total offense average.

BYU held MTSU 47.4 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 10.1 more points than MTSU’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 124.3 more rushing yards than MTSU’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 74.4 more total yards than MTSU’s total defense average.

BYU was 12.2 PER points above MTSU’s PER defense average.



Utah State

BYU held USU 24.3 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 13.6 fewer rushing yards than USU‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 77.4 fewer total yards than USU’s total offense average.

BYU held USU 68.3 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 12.9 more points than USU’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 36.3 more rushing yards than USU’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 99.8 more total yards than USU’s total defense average.

BYU was 39.6 PER points above USU’s PER defense average.



Georgia Tech

BYU held GT 16.0 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 77.9 fewer rushing yards than GT‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 34.6 fewer total yards than GT’s total offense average.

BYU held GT 20.7 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 21.6 more points than GT’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 96.3 more rushing yards than GT’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 116.4 more total yards than GT’s total defense average.

BYU was 36.4 PER points above GT’s PER defense average.



Houston

BYU held Houston 8.9 points above their scoring average.

BYU allowed 125.3 fewer rushing yards than Houston‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 14.4 more total yards than Houston’s total offense average.

BYU held Houston 11.1 PER points above their PER average.

BYU scored 28.1 more points than Houston’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 129.3 more rushing yards than Houston’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 286.1 more total yards than Houston’s total defense average.

BYU was 42.8 PER points above Houston’s PER defense average.



Boise St

BYU held Boise St 20.1 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 1.5 more rushing yards than Boise St‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 11.8 more total yards than Boise St’s total offense average.

BYU held Boise St 37.1 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 13.3 more points than Boise St’s scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 67.3 more rushing yards than Boise St’s rushing defense average.

BYU gained 146.0 more total yards than Boise St’s total defense average.

BYU was 29.9 PER points above Boise St’s PER defense average.



Wisconsin

BYU held Wisc 11.4 points below their scoring average.

BYU allowed 58 fewer rushing yards than Wisc‘s rushing average.

BYU allowed 69.6 fewer total yards than Wisc's total offense average.

BYU held Wisc's 22.4 PER points below their PER average.

BYU scored 2.0 more points than Wisc's scoring defense averaged.

BYU ran for 72.6 more rushing yards than Wisc's rushing defense average.

BYU gained 84.5 more total yards than Wisc'stotal defense average.

BYU was 5.3 PER points below Wisc's PER defense average.



All tolled BYU’s Defense has held opponents:

Below their season scoring averages in eight of nine games.

Below their rushing averages in eight of nine games.

Below their total offense averages in six of nine games.

Below the PER averages in seven of nine games.



BYU’s offense meanwhile has:

Scored more than opposing scoring defense averages in seven of nine games.

Ran for more yards than opposing rushing defensive averages in nine of nine games.

Gain more total yards than opposing total defensive averages in eight of nine games.

Had a higher PER than opposing PER defenses in five of nine games.



On average BYU scores 4.6 points above the total of our opponents scoring defense.

On average, we run for 94.7 more yards than our opponents allow.

On average we gain 114.4 more total yards than our opponents allow.

On average our PER is 6.2 points below what our opponents allow.



On average, we hold our opponents 9.4 points below their scoring offense.

On average, we hold our opponents 33.5 rushing yards below their rushing offense.

On average, we hold our opponents 36.0 total yards below their total offense.

On average, we hold our opponents 7.5 PER points below their PER offense.



- I found it interesting that we won seven of the eight categories against Wisconsin.



- Only in rushing yards by BYU's offense have the Cougars been above average in each game.



- BYU's total offense numbers have been above average in the last eight games.

Spiff



I think you know that I appreciate your data and willingness to share it.



Let me respectfully offer a little different analysis of the data. Part of this comment relates to your Wisconsin comment above and part to the Podcast discussion.



You express a bit of a surprise that we played above Wisconsin offensive and defensive averages but that it did not show up in points. It actually did show up in points on both points scored and points allowed. When you play a team with only 2 losses, especially, where 1 of those losses was due to poor officiating - possibly - Wisconsin was having fg kicker issues and might have missed - they went to a new kicket for our game,



And they are blowing out some opponents and beating others convincingly, and losing by narrow margins.



You need to even more greatly exceed their averages to actually beat them. We exceeded their averages enough to give them a closer game than they usually get.



Re the podcast discussion someone commented that our problem is on 2nd down. Too many 2nd and long. True. But that indicates a problem on 1st down. Quibbling. I know.



But the trend data showing a high increase in the number of 2nd and longs per game requires deeper reflection. GFGH gives the equivalent of a 5th quarter or so. If you take the increased number of plays into consideration, the increase in 3rd and longs is less dramatic.



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Good points. BYU and the GFGH offense are like a home run hitter right now. It seems we either strike out (three and out) or hit a home run (sustained scoring drive).



What surprised me was that in the previous games we dominated we usually win those.



But I agree that our large numbers of 2nd and long, shows more a failure on first down.

There's not a single second and long when you win on first down.