Lawboy wrote:
I see some tiers to the 2013 season:
Teir 1 (games we will win): Idaho St
Teir 2 (games we should win, but a loss is possible): UVA, Middle Tennessee, Nevada, Houston, Georgia Tech
Teir 3 (games we likely could lose, but a win wouldn't surprise me): USU, Utah, Boise, Notre Dame
Teir 4 (games we should lose, but a win is possible): Wisconsin, Texas
What the yewt? Likely losses to Usu and Utah? Not buying it. How many times has USU beat BYU in Logan in the last 20 years again? And Utah is always a toss up game, not a likely loss game.
I put both those games in Tier 2.
BYU vs Utah 0-3 lately including a beat down. Why quibble. Note that he did not have a tier for a toss-up so you have to lean to one side or the other in this poll. And he said, LIKELY COULD lose not WILL or WOULD. So why quibble.
The number of times USU whooped us up in Logan mirrors how often they have gone to bowl games and or been ranked. Not much. But things have changed lately. We are lucky that we are not 0-3 there. Thank Riley and thank an amazing defensive effort. Last time we played there they whipped Jake Heaps and got Jaime Hill fired. And, there is no 50 50 Tier.
I think BYU will beat Utah and USU with a confidence level of 51% and expect USU to be as tough or tougher than U. The coaching changes in Logan could return them to mediocrity but BYU had a little shake-up in the staff too. USU has the better QB considering talent / experience.
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