Archived Topic

Potential final BCS rankings

by gmj81 · 11/10/2009

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gmj81
By using the Collie Matrix calculator and adding the best possible remaining win for each of the top 5 teams from week 10, the final BCS rankings would look something like this:



1. Florida

2. Texas

3. TCU

4. Cincy

5. Alabama



TCU basically has no chance at jumping Texas without a Longhorn loss and the winner of the SEC is virtually guaranteed a spot in the title game. But Cincy also likely won't jump TCU either. TCU's ranking gets boosted the highest with a win over the pukes and a BYU win over the pukes as well. If the pukes beat BYU, it's a couple ten thousandths less. Boise State likely won't be #6 but should definitely be in the top 8.



So the question becomes, if TCU completely dominates the rest of its schedule, and Texas doesn't, will the pollsters think high enough of TCU to boost them past the Horns, even if the Computers don't? Also, with two non-BCS teams in the top 8, can the BCS afford not to invite both TCU and Boise, even though they may not be as big of a draw as an OSU or USC considering they are already under fire for being monopolistic? I really don't see both getting into BCS bowls but I just wonder if they are worried about the evidence that would provide Congress when Boise is clearly by the BCS's very own ranking system one of the top 8 teams, yet can't even get one of the ten BCS big money game slots.
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SpiffCoug
I can't see BCS coaches jumping TCU over Texas. It is simply not in the coaches interest to jump a non-AQ team over a BCS team - especially into a national championship eligible position.



We may very well see that this year. How the conflict of interest that is the coaches poll prevents what could be a very deserving TCU team from playing for it all.
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jonnylingo
I just can't wait until BSU gets snubbed after going undefeated again. If you are one of the bowls and you have a choice between the likes of USC or Boise State, who do you choose? Yes, you choose USC. They are going to get screwed again. It will give them even more incentive to want in to the MWC.



Please TCU, don't choke Saturday. Beat Utah handidly.
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cachevalleycougar
All you've been hearing all season long is "if the top 3 win out, they'll play for the championship." I think it's become so ingrained in the national perception that it's virtually impossible for any school not named Florida, Alabama or Texas to play in the NC game if 2 of those win out. Which is unfortunate, because I think TCU could beat any of those 3 - but that's where pre-season ranking really benefit the big name schools.

All that can be hoped for is for Texas to lose in the Big12 championship game, and Florida or alabama to lose to someone before facing each other, and then the one with the loss to win the SEC championship game. It wouldn't hurt for Cincy to lose to Pitt, either.
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gmj81
It really us unfortunate how a couple people's opinions get forced upon everyone. Even though there are many different voters in the polls, it's a select few that basically control the rankings. And don't get me started on the Coaches Poll.



Like I said, I don't expect the BCS to do the non-AQ any favors. Yet that seems to be exactly what they think they are doing now. The high and mighty BCS think they are veritable saints for "allowing" the non-AQ to join the party. So just be happy with your scraps TCU/BSU and now go split them with the other 50 non-AQs. They claim that we can't compete week in and week out in a conference like theirs and yet they are scared to see how good we can actually be through either a playoff or a even just scheduling the best non-AQs in the non-conference slate in order to protect their monopoly. But this kind of thinking has to be what's eventually going to get the BCS all busted up anyway as the evidence mounts that the money is being hoarded by the traditional powers.
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Schmoe
If (when) BSU gets snubbed again, it seems like a pretty good reason to jump ship since the WAC SOS simply isn't enough to get them where they want to go. And if they are as confident as their fans are in asserting that they could roll the MWC like they do the WAC, I see no reason not to come over to side of truth and justice. My $0.02
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Cougy_Monster
Schmoe wrote:
If (when) BSU gets snubbed again, it seems like a pretty good reason to jump ship since the WAC SOS simply isn't enough to get them where they want to go. And if they are as confident as their fans are in asserting that they could roll the MWC like they do the WAC, I see no reason not to come over to side of truth and justice. My $0.02



When BSU joins the MWC they are in for a rough ride. I pity any team that has to play BYU, yewtah and TCU.
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