SpiffCoug wrote:
Whatever USU does against BYU, the do the opposite the next game:
2011-12: USU 69 BYU 62. Next game: USU 63 Weber St 73
2010-11: USU 72 BYU 78. Next game: USU 66 Southern Utah 53
2009-10: USU 71 BYU 61. Next game: USU 63 St Mary's 68
2008-09: USU 63 BYU 68. Next game: USU 69 Utah Valley 50
Cougarbib2 wrote:
It looks more to be a function of WHO they played after BYU. Some years they play a good team and lose and other years a very weak team and win. Probably also a pattern of play us at home then someone else on the road or vice versa.
Don't omit key data. Add RPI of opponents and home vs away data and it may not seem like Angels are favoring USU over BYU or that there is some conspiracy.
Plus - this year we are not very good yet. They are not either - but it was at their house.
Other than the Jimmer years, doesn't USU own us in Logan?
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It's hard to say whether Weber State is a good team this year since they've only played a couple of games, but over the last 4 years they've finished the season with RPI ranks of (195, 107, 85, 148). If they're close to that this year, that's a bad loss, even on the road.
The 2009 loss to St Mary's I think is more telling. BYU finished the year ranked higher than both USU and SMC. USU finished the season ranked higher than SMC. Both games were in Logan, during the semester (no change in student attendance) and USU went from beating a higher ranked team by 10 to losing to a lower ranked team (again, at home) by 5. The game was late enough in the season to not be an early season fluke and, as in the WSU this year, USU let SMC get a large 1st half lead, then rallied in the 2nd half, and then dropped it down the stretch.
USU didn't lose any other home games that year, just the one right after they played us.