Sorry folks - it will all come down to Pizza, Boats, and Oats. Doman will still be inexperienced. The OL will still be the same as we have had for two years and that played last time USU killed us. The TEs, WRs, and RBs will be the same as we had last year. The defense will be better than the one that let USU kill us last year - which is good, because they will have to win the game for us, perhaps with - but don't count on it - a little help from special teams. The D will win the game for us unless Pizza is still worrying too much about future rising dough and doesn't worry enough about eating his oats, manning up, and playing with courage, passion, and abandon, instead of fear while that rising tide lifts all the leaky boats. Otherwise you will see a tired and demoralized D get run over in Q4 by a RB that is better than any we had running all over us last year and this year and Sep 17. You will see what a True Freshman QB with fire in his belly can do unless Heaps moves the chains and keeps our D fresh.
This team is out of synch and the leaky boats don't know when or where to expect the passes that might come early, late, high, low, behind, or on target. This makes them tense up, try to do too much, and make mistakes. Rhythm, and consistency will relax the team and if the ball is where it is supposed to be when it is supposed to be with a reasonable amount of touch, they will catch it almost every time. And the D will be fresh, and that potent USU offense will be slowed.
The thing about oats, tides, and boats is that a rising tide will even lift driftwood and leaky boats. Not to perfection. Won't make NFL players out of them. But it will get them to their potential. BYU teams are usually deficient at RB, WR, and DB compared to any good opponent. Solid to great QB play with consistent execution has almost always had to overcome that.
If Jake cannot lead this team to a win at home over USU and their leaky boats, it will be time to turn over the reins. If he struggles in the first half, time for him to sit and reflect on how badly he wants to play instead of how to rush throws to avoid hits. It would actually help him if he actually has the heart to be a great QB.
Hopefully we get up by 21 early and start developing our back-up QBs. If we don't end up with enough garbage time this season to ensure we enter 2012 with Heaps, Nelson, and Lark ready to go and Munns even getting a few reps - fire the coaches. Even Bronco.
The Lowgies are coming after pizza early and Oren to test his oats and mettle to see if they get mistakes and excuses or get burned. We will see how Jake handles that. And with the way our D plays in the first half, we should see if the Lowgies have a back-up QB that can play. If they do and we don't - embarrassing isn't it? INEXCUSEABLE!
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