Alabama beats Georgia in a close game for the SEC Championship; Georgia does not drop out of the top 4.Oklahoma State embarrasses Baylor for the Big XII Championship, and the 3rd loss is enough to drop them below us.No other shenanigans; everyone else stays right where they are.Assuming Utah again beats Oregon and Pitt beats Wake Forest, the resulting rankings look something like this:- Alabama
- Michigan
- Cincy
- Georgia
- Oklahoma St.
- Notre Dame
- Ohio State
- Ole Miss
- Michigan St.
- BYU
- Baylor
- Utah
- Oklahoma
And the bowls would be:
Orange: Alabama vs Georgia II
Cotton: Michigan vs Cincinnati
Sugar: Oklahoma St. vs Ole Miss
Rose: Utah vs Ohio St.
Fiesta: ND vs BYU
Peach: Pitt vs Michigan State
Reasoning: If Alabama drops out of the top 4, they take the SEC spot in the Sugar Bowl, and Ole Miss becomes an at-large. Assuming Oklahoma St. is in the playoff in such a scenario, Baylor takes the Big 12 spot in the Sugar Bowl. The at-large teams are Notre Dame, Ole Miss, and Michigan St, with BYU as the first out. So, if Alabama is not in the playoff, the only other scenario that works for us would be Notre Dame getting into the playoff over Oklahoma St, which is unlikely given that Oklahoma St. is already ranked ahead of them and Notre Dame has no more games. If Baylor wins the Big 12, there's no way Oklahoma St drops below us, and they would be the at-large instead of us.
Of course, the CFP committee could inexplicably make us jump Michigan St, opening up a world of possibilities, but that seems....unlikely.
So, Roll Tide and Ride 'em Cowboys!Statistics: Posted by redneckjedi — Mon Nov 29, 2021 4:24 pm
]]>