CougarCorner

Re: Potential end of year ranking.

2021-11-02T21:08:15-06:00

Well, strangely the CFP committee loves us, and has us at 15, and we have opportunities to rise with well-timed losses and upsets by those above us.

11/6:
* 13 AUB vs 14 A&M next
* 9 WAKE vs UNC (UNC favored)

11/13:
* 4 ORE vs WSU
* 8 OU vs 12 BAY
* 9 WAKE vs 19 NCST (NCST favored)
* 13 AUB vs 17 MSST
* 14 A&M vs 16 MISS
* 10 ND vs UVA

Without too much craziness (Cincy, Oregon, ND dropping games they shouldn't, Auburn upsetting Bama), we could have 3 13-0 conference champions (Georgia, Michigan St., Oklahoma), and nobody else better than 10-2. We probably wouldn't be the best 10-2 team in the committee's eyes, but maybe some more magical upsets happen? 11/13 is the key; a lot of teams right above us could lose while we have a bye, and that will tell us a lot about where our two losses stack up with the rest. It's better to lose early than late.

Statistics: Posted by redneckjedi — Tue Nov 02, 2021 9:08 pm

Re: Potential end of year ranking.

2021-11-01T20:58:45-06:00

My guess is that we can probably move up one spot each week the next three weeks, as most weeks there is usually a few losses in the rankings above us.

Right now, we're at #17 in the AP Poll. Teams ahead of us that might/could lose:
#15 Ole Miss vs Liberty (unlikely)
#12 Auburn at #13 Texas A&M (loser will have 3 losses and could drop below us)
#10 Wake Forest at North Carolina (they could drop with a loss)

The week after has some opportunities for us to move during the bye:
#14 Baylor at #4 Oklahoma (a loss could drop the Bears behind us despite beating us)
#13 Texas A&M at #15 Ole Miss (good chance both teams lose a game the next two weeks to drop behind us)

Then by that point a BYU win at USC could be enough that a #4 Oklahoma win at #11 Oklahoma St could drop the Cowboys behind us. And could see us leapfrog #16 UTSA.

So I think it's possible that if BYU wins out, there is a chance for BYU to move up 4-5 more spots before the bowl game. I'll take a Top 12 ranking going into our bowl which would lead to a decent chance for a Top 10 finish.

Bottom line: Take care of business by winning the last four games and the ranking will take care of itself.

Statistics: Posted by SpiffCoug — Mon Nov 01, 2021 8:58 pm

Re: Potential end of year ranking.

2021-11-01T17:04:28-06:00

A quick look at the P12 standings tells me that they're probably going to end up 3rd or 4th in the P12 South. Beating a big name always helps, but probably not much in this case

I'm going to predict 13th if we win out.

Best case scenario: USC gets hot and wins out. Utah falls apart down the stretch and USC ends up in the P12 championship game. Even then, they'll only be 7-4 and probably not ranked, so in that scenario, I'll bump us up to 11th

Statistics: Posted by tmoney35 — Mon Nov 01, 2021 5:04 pm

Re: Potential end of year ranking.

2021-11-01T12:21:22-06:00

Also, Jaren Hall looked like a different player out there. Hopefully he's finally healthy.

Statistics: Posted by BroncoBot — Mon Nov 01, 2021 12:21 pm

Potential end of year ranking.

2021-11-01T11:22:27-06:00

Assuming BYU wins out...
how high can they climb? The next 2 games won't generate much buzz, but I think a statement win @ USC would be a good springboard up the rankings (even if USC isn't all that great this year).

And man does that BSU loss hurt right now.

Statistics: Posted by BroncoBot — Mon Nov 01, 2021 11:22 am